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23th Feb, 2024

India’s trade negotiations; outlook on monetary policy and rupee

Last few weeks saw hectic activity in the sphere of policies with respect to global trade.

23th Feb, 2024

FY25 Interim Budget; outlook on monetary policy and rupee

The month of Feb-23 started with the presentation of the interim budget for 2024-25.

27th Dec, 2023

Trade implications of the Red Sea disturbance; outlook on monetary policy and rupee

With the Israel-Hamas war continuing to simmer in the backdrop, global trade is now confronting fresh concerns in the Red Sea trade route.

27th Dec, 2023

Winners and losers of global merchandise trade in 2023; outlook on monetary policy and rupee

The simmering of Israel-Hamas war continues to provide sporadic jitters to world trade. With 2023 coming to an end, we offer a bird’s eye view of merchandise trade performance.

27th Nov, 2023

Dark clouds with a silver lining marks global trade; outlook on monetary policy and rupee

Even as the Israel-Hamas war continues to simmer, tail risks for global trade have not yet acquired baseline characteristics.

1 Nov, 2023

Assessing the trade impact from Israel-Palestine conflict, and outlook on Fed rate and rupee

The month of Oct-23 started on a sombre note amidst flaring up of geopolitical conflict.

10th oct, 2023

G20 and trade, widening of India’s trade deficit, and assessment of Fed rate and rupee trajectory

As India concluded a successful G20 Leaders’ Summit in Sep-23, we look at its implications for global trade as well as India.

23rd Aug, 2023

Mid-year trade review, Fed’s peak rate, and reassessment of rupee trajectory

Global trade volume registered a contraction of 2.4% YoY in May-23. This marked the sixth annualized contraction in trade volume in seven months.

21st Apr, 2023

One year of war, record weakness in export financing, and reassessment of Fed rate trajectory

The Russia-Ukraine war has completed one year with no signs of resolution in the near term. In this newsletter

15th Feb, 2023

Update on global economy, India Budget highlights and US monetary policy

The week gone by saw two major economic events relevant for India along with a key economic forecast update for the global economy.

23rd Jan, 2023

Export assessment survey, export credit, and Budget expectations

As 2023 commences, we take this opportunity to look beyond usual export statistics and evaluate how the enabling environment appears from the perspective of sentiment..

2nd Dec, 2022

India's exports in slow lane, why?

As per the WTO, growth in global merchandise trade volume is expected to slip to 1% in 2023 (slowest since the initial COVID outbreak in 2020) from 3.5% in 2022.

22nd Dec, 2022

The product mix of India’s exports – what’s growing or falling?

Category wise share of exports is a function of prevailing price and quantity demanded.Four key product categories, viz. Petroleum